US Coffee C (KCK6)

Currency in USD
303.65
+1.00(+0.33%)
Closed·

US Coffee C Futures Discussions

Oh oh! Looks like its about to shoot up! 5s in the top of parrallel Channel running since 2020 lows - cycles repeat - inverted cup and handle did not confirm! See you on the moon!
Remember its not made to make sense! ;)
And neither are fairy tales
time to load big buy
Only the braves! I am not personally One of them
To Mas - Short term scalp (day trade) sure. Long term...not so sure.
yeah i meant intraday it was briliant :)
Bear gang stays out when market is going up!
Bull gang stays out when the market is going down.
Market isn't going up - it's been fluctuating in the same range for weeks. No one is here because it's uneventful. Wait until harvest.
Post-harvest, right. Harvest time is predicted to have low temperatures (I'm not the one saying this). In truth, everything is a box of surprises.
Bear gang stays out when market is going up!
Trees full of coffee beans. Never before seen such perfection.
Really? where?
In robusta - arabica scarcity
Yolanda is delusional and probably long.
Harvest weather simply PERFECT !
Viriato you are still around? LOL. I'm in Tokyo now. Thank you for letting me have this condo in Tokyo.
I wish you to enjoy Tokyo and do not limit yourself only by Tokyo area but to explore deeper - there are beautiful places and beautiful condos and houses over there as well :):):) ! I was not the one who participated in the funding of your project definitely :) ... For fun, it is not a rocket science to say that what went up may go down at some point or vice versa - anybody can do it :), to look at monthly/quarterly chart is more than enough for that... But it is a rocket science to forecast a correct move several months in advance. As you may see, it is April, harvest has started and the price is still around 300... assuming 100mb of A coming from Brazil and another 50mb from Colombia, complete demand destruction, complete switching from coffee to tea and non-stop boycott of Dutch supermarkets :):):)... Have fun !
I would add to this that cocoa still did not return to the business as usual :):):)...
Upsude arguments weaker... Trying tò grasp at straws
Context matters. Last year Colombia had the highest output in decades. 2024 - 12.9 million bags. 2025 - 14.8 million bags. 2026 prediction 13.8 million bags.
Are you sure?
I would also pay attention to SE Asia and the temps there... :)
inverted cup&handle in the making?
Panic selling around 268
Crop will be +80 milion in total and when they entered fields in last few days panic attacked them. While stil +25 percent of last crop beans at stock 😀
The one does not need to guess for a long time: if the return to the business as usual is in the cards, then April-May should produce aggressive move down targeting 200 level. Also, it is clear that it's gonna be no cheap ferts/chemicals/energy and so, some producers may re-evaluate what they would like to carry over, especially, if the price will drop significantly within next couple of months... If to consider 48mb as the average for 2026 it is important to remember that such a number on all the expansions that took place within recent years will be still below 2018 - 2020 production.
when? You predicted last year the maximum would be 2.50, last three weeks it could not go bellow 2.8o
you did not drank that much of coffee? It is why.
Some regions in Brazil are already beginning to enter the harvest period. Good luck and a great harvest to Brazilian producers.
Coffee KC oh, since mid 1800's... :)
it is why im still alive? and kc doesn’t go bellow 2.8?
Sit down and clean your samples !
Curently arabica shortage, good harvest will be available until june - Brazil good harvest also seems to be in islands, boots on the ground say good and bad parches averages out to 55M bags
Some w-guys see the possibility to compare it with 1997, which was a real big thing :).
The Nino will bring favorable weather this year in CB Brazil and no frost probably
the weather man
Statistically, May, is the highest price during the year.
May or April?
Happy Easter:)
M A Y, thus the saying, 'sell in May and go away' ...
Wonder why price goes up as huge harvest arrives? Because that harvest is not Arabica but Robusta. High Robusta harvest may supress Arabica price but only to a certain point not 200s
Good politician replay yo Say nothing Mr Sevinc weeks ahead Will teach tò ne or tò you something. Enjoy your trading times
It would be conservative and safe for now to consider that A will come within the range of 45mb - 50mb. Any figure within 45mb - 47mb subrange is a disaster figure, historically, on all the expansions that took place on stimulative price within last years. The range of 48 - 50mb (especially 49-50mb) will provide some relief absolutely as it will give a hope that production is recovering, etc. Global balance wise 50mb is nothing dramatic and market will be looking towards 2028 ON crop to see if 55mb will be achieved in Brazil or not. Two major supports are 250 and 200 areas, with 200 being the line in the sand... Thus, we have to watch if 200 will get broken or not on weekly/monthly or instead the market will bottom 200 - 300 in the end of 2027 or 2026... unless the weather will force it to do it earlier :). If 200 will not get broken - no return to the business as usual :) but rather :) a return to a new paradigm. There are gonna be no cheap ferts/chemicals/energy going forward for years and the lower the price will go the less product will be on average applied by the producers. Besides, 2028 was marked in some virtual statistical studies as a possibility for the one of a kind drought for MG... Harvest has started and if all is really that well :), the price will start reflecting in an aggressive fashion in April/May... :)
Coffee KC We saw... me and my father.
Coffee to 300
by by 300 ?
Crop coming 230-260 soon
People wait for big crop because It Is true. Do not try tò keep excuses .. It Is a Dangerous game for producer now.. maybe in the next seasons we could pay attention .. today Is another story
your attitude is disturbing. All can express their ideas, we know yours
Dont get surprised by "a fat finger"
Another report of a record upcoming crop from Marex. Even Sprudge published a prediction of a 200 C by YE.
Some predictions at $180. Crazy times
or back to normal times haha
Now is best time to buy gold (dip) but not coffee...
Now is the time to buy gasoline at the gas station. :)
Olaf. Hahaha. How about making biodiesel?
FAME is connected to diesel price by formula, so no use
Low volume yesterday and today. Breakout seems weak and vulnerable.
Also, open intetest increasing. Recipie for a downside
You need to look at the chart structure to help make sense of the move. Stops run on the way down, stops run on the way up. It simply highlights a hiw the market sentiment is wrong. We dont always no why. In this current time frame I would pose uncertainty and fertilisers. Add shipping costs and some questions on yield. Labour market, greed and sustainability. The price is a collective of everything.
Learn to be parliamentary and democratic. Basics. Who cares what you write, only you probably.
You speak as if anyone cares about what you say. At least your ego is big. 1. Climatempo is a Brazilian weather website (but of course you checked before criticizing). 2. I didn't say anything about drought or frost; you take the news as if I were the one writing the notes. 3. Of course you know that May is the beginning of the frost season in Brazil; I don't know why you're comparing 30 degrees to now (lack of interpretation?).
polite as usual
Harder to trade when the market is like this
Acute observers should look at arbitrage movement from 1st March uptoday .. a non sense if fundamentals counting .. from a speculative point of view and incredibile cheat on the market
This is how retail traders lose money and MM gets richer, nothing new
Today is madness
Run & hide
Yes, sure, with a bumper Brazil crop at the door and Trump running away and hiding from war.
fertilizer cost and record breaking el niño for that bumper crop that needs way more support in food and water than normal… looks like harvest hangs from a sting
fertilizer cost and record breaking el niño for that bumper crop - it needs way more support in food and water than normal… looks like harvest hangs from a sting
Arabica production down , robusta up compared to prior year, trade in London for 200usd, we will see 350 here
Exact figures are robusta 30% up, Arabica 10% down
In which movie?
Reality show
Brasil production is way below last year, price is moving up fast to previous levels and can make new highs next couple of weeks
I often wonder if they truly think anyone buys their bs. Everyone is entitled to their opinion but blatant misinformation gets tiresome.
ROF Oli, I don’t see any fundamentals and neither do Brazilian analysts in their published articles that I have read that support your opinion.What are you basing your opinion on? Would like to know
Wrong year
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